Kessler Edges Out Seidel? Here’s Who Holds the Edge in Their Cincinnati Thriller

Kessler Edges

A compelling third-round match is set at the Cincinnati Open as No. 32 seed McCartney Kessler squares off against the up-and-coming German qualifier Ella Seidel, ranked roughly 125th in the world. Both players bring momentum, making Monday’s showdown one of the tournament’s most intriguing early-round duels.

Form & Momentum

Ella Seidel is on fire. The 20-year-old qualifier has won four straight matches to reach this stage, including the biggest victory of her career—a dramatic come-from-behind win over eighth-seed Emma Navarro. Her ability to stay cool under pressure and deliver clutch moments makes her a dangerous underdog.

McCartney Kessler, age 26, has enjoyed a breakthrough 2025 season. Coming off two titles this year and a strong showing in Montreal where she toppled a top-four seed, she enters Cincinnati battle-hardened and confident. Her second-round win against Caty McNally (6–4, 6–3) showcased her aggressive baseline play and keen tactical sense.

Head-to-Head & Style Matchup

This will be their first tour-level meeting. Seidel’s aggressive shot-making and excellent serving form could unsettle Kessler—particularly if she maintains her high first-serve percentage. On the other hand, Kessler’s consistent ground game and defensive discipline could grind down the German if the rallies extend.

Predictions at a Glance

  • Multiple prediction models favor Kessler—one gives her up to a 77% win probability, while others expect a tight three-set battle.
  • Upset-alert analysts see Seidel covering the spread and pushing the match to the limit, given her momentum and fearless attitude.

In Summary

Kessler enters as the calculated favorite, buoyed by form, experience, and ranking. Still, Seidel’s magical run and fearless tennis make her a serious threat—expect a fierce match that likely stretches to three sets.

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