Victoria Mboko – On Day 2 of the US Open, the women’s draw features a highly anticipated opening-round showdown between Canadian sensation Victoria Mboko and two-time Grand Slam champion Barbora Krejcikova.
About the Players
- Victoria Mboko, just days shy of her 19th birthday, has risen rapidly through the ranks in 2025. Starting the year ranked outside the top 300, she now holds the No. 23 position following a breakout WTA 1000 title in Montreal, where she defeated several top-tier opponents including Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, and Naomi Osaka.
- Barbora Krejcikova, 29, is a seasoned competitor with Grand Slam singles titles at the French Open (2021) and Wimbledon (2024). Despite her accolades, her 2025 season has been plagued by inconsistency and injuries, leaving her ranked No. 61 heading into New York.
Analyst Predictions
A variety of analysts have weighed in on the matchup, offering differing views:
- Yesh Ginsburg: Picks Krejcikova in 2 sets, noting Mboko’s recent success may not yet be stable.
- Damian Kust: Predicts Mboko in 3 sets, emphasizing her hot form and physical fitness.
- Jordan Reynolds: Chooses Krejcikova in 2 sets, citing the veteran’s superior tennis IQ.
Stat-Based Forecasts
- A predictive model from a major betting analysis firm gives Mboko a 65.6% chance to win in straight sets.
- Data simulations suggest Mboko has a 63% probability of winning the match overall, though some models point to potential value in betting on Krejcikova due to her experience.
Summary Table: Match Predictions
| Source / Analyst | Prediction | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Yesh Ginsburg | Krejcikova in 2 | Mboko may not sustain her Montreal-level form |
| Damian Kust | Mboko in 3 | Riding momentum and recent success |
| Jordan Reynolds | Krejcikova in 2 | Tactical and strategic edge |
| Betting Model | Mboko 2–0 | Strong statistical confidence in straight-set win |
| Data Simulation | Mboko (63% chance) | Form-based advantage despite Krejcikova’s pedigree |
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